Saturday, September 24, 2005

Another week, my eyes grow progressively worse, my knowledge becomes increasingly muddled and I grow increasingly weary.

Good times.

It's not that bad. Actually, if I spent less time goofing at home with the sibling and cousin, I'd probably get more work done. It's time to admit to myself that really, I don't get anything done at home and need to start living in the library. Noooooo. Must. Resist. Library.

On a happier note, big brother and sister in law are in town for the weekend. Yay! Had fun laughing and eating last night, more to come tonight.

And now...

My obsession with baby pandas continues!!!





If I were in DC again, I would be the first person at the zoo when they opened the panda exhibit up again. I've been watching this little sucker grow via the panda cam, and I've become unnaturally attached. I just love it.

Friday, September 16, 2005







I miss my friends!!!! We need a reunion. Someone hurry up and get married.

Or not.

Monday, September 12, 2005

This weekend, I went to two Giants games, and witnessesd two losses. Oy. It was painful. But I still have hope-- if we sweep SD this week, we'll only be four games behind them!

On Mondays I only have one class, at 4 PM. Today it was cancelled! Yay! I'll be home studying all day, call me if you need me :)

I am thisclose to buying an ipod nano. Goodbye savings, hello teeny tiny ipod!

If I ever won the lottery, I would run for public office. That way I could get stuff done without having to worry about fundraising and not be influenced by donors. And I would care more about people than politics and sound bytes and all that crap. Living in DC made me a lot more cynical about the political process.

The weather is cooling, and it's starting to feel like fall. I hope we get some Indian summer weather, cause I'm not ready to put away my flip flops yet. Goodbye summer! It was nice knowing ya.

Wednesday, September 07, 2005

BLAAAAH. Cut the crap federal government. (and I'm not even talking about Bush. I'm talking about the bureaucratic crap that is always there, no matter who's heading it.)

Perhaps I should just lower my standards of what I think the government should be and can do.


I think one thing this hurricane has brought to greater light are the deep, institutional problems we have in our government and our society. We need to open our eyes. I think the moral health of our society is reflected in the way we treat the poor and those who need our help the most. What this hurricane has shown is that we just don’t care, that we blithely disregard the poor, the minority, the elderly, the infirm until something like this happens. I don’t know why, but I’m still shocked and pissed off by it, and guilty because I know I contribute. You’d think by now I would have just accepted it as fact. But I’m still idealistic enough to think that we can do better, we should do better. I guess that’s why I’m so disappointed by the government’s response to all this—I can’t believe that’s the best our country could have done. What’s wrong with expecting more, demanding more? What’s worse, expecting too much, or expecting too little?

I’m rambling. I’m frustrated. I can donate money, but what else? Pray, I guess. And keep my resolve to be a social engineer, and not a parasite.

And the Barbara Bush article? That’s just in because, well, what the hell lady?

Top FEMA leaders short on experience

By Andrew Zajac and Andrew Martin

Washington Bureau

Wed Sep 7, 9:40 AM ET

Top officials of the Federal Emergency Management Agency have strong political connections to President Bush, but they also share at least one other trait: They had little or no experience in disaster management before landing in top FEMA posts.

Michael Brown, who heads FEMA as undersecretary of homeland security for emergency preparedness and response, already has endured sharp criticism for comments he made last week that seemed to suggest he did not understand that thousands of victims of Hurricane Katrina had taken refuge at the New Orleans convention center.

Before joining FEMA in 2001, Brown, a protege of longtime Bush aide Joseph Allbaugh, was commissioner of the International Arabian Horse Association and had virtually no experience in disaster management.

An official biography of Brown's top aide, acting deputy director Patrick Rhode, doesn't list disaster relief experience.

The department's No. 3 official, acting deputy chief of staff Brooks Altshuler, also does not have emergency management experience, according to FEMA spokeswoman Natalie Rule.

Rule said the absence of direct experience managing emergencies is irrelevant because top managers need "the ability to keep the organization running."

But Eric Holdeman, director of the King County Office of Emergency Management in Seattle, said familiarity with the specifics of disaster management is essential.

"Experience is not just general managerial experience, it's experience in the field," he said.

Rhode and Altshuler worked in the White House's Office of National Advance Operations, which arranges Bush's travel and scripts his appearances.

The credentials of top FEMA managers stand in contrast to the backgrounds of leaders of the agency during the last years of the Clinton administration.

Clinton-era FEMA Director James Lee Witt headed the Arkansas office of emergency services before he was tapped by Clinton in 1993 to run the federal disaster relief agency.

Witt's top aides in 2000, Lynn Canton and Michael Armstrong, ran regional FEMA offices for at least three years before assuming senior positions in Washington.

Rep. Bennie Thompson (news, bio, voting record) (D-Miss.) said the lack of experience in FEMA's top ranks was evident in the sluggish response to the hurricane.

"Disaster preparedness, whether it's in anticipation of potential weather-related incidents or terrorist incidents requires a skill set that in my mind someone has to be trained for," said Thompson, ranking Democrat on the House Committee on Homeland Security.

Moreover, The Associated Press reported Tuesday that Brown waited until hours after Katrina had struck the Gulf Coast before asking his boss to dispatch 1,000 Homeland Security Department employees to the region--and gave them two days to arrive, according to internal documents.

Brown sought the approval from Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff roughly five hours after Katrina made landfall on Aug. 29, the AP said.

Before then, FEMA had positioned smaller rescue and communications teams across the Gulf Coast. But officials said Tuesday that the first department-wide appeal for help came only as the storm raged.

Brown has stoutly defended FEMA's performance, saying the agency has done the best it could under bad circumstances.

Last week, Bush, while saying that the initial federal response to the hurricane was "not acceptable," nonetheless lauded Brown, telling him, "Brownie, you're doing a heckuva job."

On Tuesday, White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan declined to echo such praise.

"We've got to continue to do everything we can in support of those who are involved in the operational aspects of this response effort," McClellan said.


FEMA director waited to seek Homeland help
Documents: Brown waited five hours after storm’s landfall to get agency aid

The Associated Press

Updated: 2:04 p.m. ET Sept. 7, 2005

WASHINGTON - The government’s disaster chief waited until hours after Hurricane Katrina had already struck the Gulf Coast before asking his boss to dispatch 1,000 Homeland Security workers to support rescuers in the region — and gave them two days to arrive, according to internal documents.

Michael Brown, director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, sought the approval from Homeland Security Secretary Mike Chertoff roughly five hours after Katrina made landfall on Aug. 29. Brown said that among duties of these employees was to “convey a positive image” about the government’s response for victims.

Before then, FEMA had positioned smaller rescue and communications teams across the Gulf Coast. But officials acknowledged Tuesday the first department-wide appeal for help came only as the storm raged.

Brown’s memo to Chertoff described Katrina as “this near catastrophic event” but otherwise lacked any urgent language. The memo politely ended, “Thank you for your consideration in helping us to meet our responsibilities.”

The initial responses of the government and Brown came under escalating criticism as the breadth of destruction and death grew. President Bush and Congress on Tuesday pledged separate investigations into the federal response to Katrina. “Governments at all levels failed,” said Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine.

Homeland Security spokesman Russ Knocke said Brown had positioned front-line rescue teams and Coast Guard helicopters before the storm. Brown’s memo on Aug. 29 aimed to assemble the necessary federal work force to support the rescues, establish communications and coordinate with victims and community groups, Knocke said.

Instead of rescuing people or recovering bodies, these employees would focus on helping victims find the help they needed, he said.

“There will be plenty of time to assess what worked and what didn’t work,” Knocke said. “Clearly there will be time for blame to be assigned and to learn from some of the successful efforts.”

‘A positive image’
Brown’s memo told employees that among their duties, they would be expected to “convey a positive image of disaster operations to government officials, community organizations and the general public.”

“FEMA response and recovery operations are a top priority of the department and as we know, one of yours,” Brown wrote Chertoff. He proposed sending 1,000 Homeland Security Department employees within 48 hours and 2,000 within seven days.

Knocke said the 48-hour period suggested for the Homeland employees was to ensure they had adequate training. “They were training to help the life-savers,” Knocke said.

Employees required a supervisor’s approval and at least 24 hours of disaster training in Maryland, Florida or Georgia. “You must be physically able to work in a disaster area without refrigeration for medications and have the ability to work in the outdoors all day,” Brown wrote.

The same day Brown wrote Chertoff, Brown also urged local fire and rescue departments outside Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi not to send trucks or emergency workers into disaster areas without an explicit request for help from state or local governments. Brown said it was vital to coordinate fire and rescue efforts.

Sen. Barbara Mikulski, D-Md., said Tuesday that Brown should step down.

After a senators-only briefing by Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff and other Cabinet members, Sen. Charles E. Schumer said lawmakers weren’t getting their questions answered.

‘A big, big problem’
“What people up there want to know, Democrats and Republicans, is what is the challenge ahead, how are you handling that and what did you do wrong in the past,” said Schumer, D-N.Y.

Sen. Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, said the administration is “getting a bad rap” for the emergency response. “People have to understand this is a big, big problem.”

Meanwhile, the airline industry said the government’s request for help evacuating storm victims didn’t come until late Thursday afternoon. The president of the Air Transport Association, James May, said the Homeland Security Department called then to ask if the group could participate in an airlift for refugees.

Offers of Aid Immediate, but U.S. Approval Delayed for Days

By Elizabeth Williamson
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, September 7, 2005; A01

Offers of foreign aid worth tens of millions of dollars -- including a Swedish water purification system, a German cellular telephone network and two Canadian rescue ships -- have been delayed for days awaiting review by backlogged federal agencies, according to European diplomats and information collected by the State Department.

Since Hurricane Katrina, more than 90 countries and international organizations offered to assist in recovery efforts for the flood-stricken region, but nearly all endeavors remained mired yesterday in bureaucratic entanglements, in most cases, at the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

In Germany, a massive telecommunication system and two technicians await the green light to fly to Louisiana, after its donors spent four days searching for someone willing to accept the gift.

"FEMA? That was a lost case," said Mirit Hemy, an executive with the Netherlands-based New Skies Satellite who made the phone calls. "We got zero help, and we lost one week trying to get hold of them."

In Sweden, a transport plane loaded with a water purification system and a cellular network has been ready to take off for four days, while Swedish officials wait for flight clearance. Nearly a week after they were offered, four Canadian rescue vessels and two helicopters have been accepted but probably won't arrive from Halifax, Nova Scotia, until Saturday. The Canadians' offer of search-and-rescue divers has so far gone begging.

Matching offers of aid -- from Panamanian bananas to British engineers -- with needs in the devastated region is a laborious process in a disaster whose scope is unheard of in recent U.S. history, especially for a country more accustomed to giving than receiving aid.

State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said yesterday that to his knowledge, all offers of foreign aid have been accepted and some have arrived, such as Air Canada's flights to relocate displaced people. But many others must be vetted by emergency relief specialists. "I think the experts will take a look at exactly what is needed now," he said.

FEMA spokeswoman Natalie Rule said the foreign complaints echo those from governors and officials "across the nation."

"There has been that common thought that because [offers of aid] are not tapped immediately, they're not prudently used," Rule said. "We are pulling everything into a centralized database. We are trying not to suck everything in all at once, whether we need it or not."

European diplomats said publicly that they understand the difficulty of coordinating such a massive recovery effort. In an open letter released yesterday, though, Ambassador John Bruton, head of the Delegation of the European Commission to the United States, wrote:

"Perhaps one of those lessons will be that rugged individualism is not always enough in such a crisis, particularly if an individual does not have the material and psychological means to escape the fury of a hurricane in time."

Soon after the flooding, the government of Sweden offered a C-130 Hercules transport plane, loaded with water purification equipment, and a cellular network donated by Ericsson.

"As far as I know, it's still on the ground," said Claes Thorson, press counselor at the Swedish Embassy in Washington. He said that along with 20 other European Union nations that have pledged aid, "We are ready to send our things. We know they are needed, but what seems to be a problem is getting all these offers into the country."

So far, Thorson said, the State Department has denied Sweden's request for flight clearance. "We don't know exactly why, but we have a suspicion that the system is clogged on the receiving end," he said. "But we keep a request alive all the time, so we are not forgotten."

German telecommunications company KB Impuls contacted another company, Unisat, based in Rhode Island, with the idea of contributing an integrated satellite and cellular telephone system.

In a region with its communications systems in tatters, the $3 million system could handle 5,000 calls at once, routing them, if necessary, through Germany.

KB Impuls would contribute the equipment and two engineers, supplied with their own food, water and generator fuel, to set it up. Unisat contacted another firm, New Skies Satellite, with offices in Washington, which agreed to contribute satellite capacity.

New Skies even arranged transport, securing a C-130 cargo plane from the Israeli air force, to pick up the equipment and technicians from Germany and bring them to Louisiana. "With one call, I got an airplane," Hemy said. And then, over four days, she and the owner of Unisat, Uri Bar-Zemer, called contacts at FEMA, the American Red Cross, the State Department, even members of Congress, trying to find someone to accept the gift.

Finally the State Department told them that to receive flight clearance, the gift must have a specific recipient. "I was ringing, ringing, ringing -- and nothing," Hemy said. Finally, yesterday, she got a call from the U.S. Air Force's Joint Task Force Katrina Communication Operations division, thanking the companies for the gift and inquiring about the system's technical specifications.

As of late yesterday, the companies were waiting for a written order from the Northern Command to begin the mission. "I don't have a problem confirming that," Bar-Zemer said of the story. But he expressed concerns that disclosing the difficulties in donating could jeopardize the company's chances of actually delivering the aid.

Barbara Bush: Relocation 'working very well' for poor

HOUSTON, Texas (AP) -- Former Presidents Bush and Clinton got smiles, hugs and requests for autographs when they met with refugees from Hurricane Katrina -- but it was Bush's wife who got attention for some of her comments.

Barbara Bush, who accompanied the former presidents on a tour of the Astrodome complex Monday, said the relocation to Houston is "working very well" for some of the poor people forced out of New Orleans.

"What I'm hearing, which is sort of scary, is they all want to stay in Texas. Everyone is so overwhelmed by the hospitality," she said during a radio interview with the American Public Media program "Marketplace." "And so many of the people in the arena here, you know, were underprivileged anyway, so this is working very well for them."

Her comments came as the two former presidents visited with hundreds of the 23,600 hurricane refugees and announced the creation of the Bush-Clinton Katrina Fund.

"We're most anxious to roll up our sleeves and get to work," George H.W. Bush said. "It will take all of us working together to accomplish our goal. This job is too big for any one group."

Clinton said he thinks the federal government's response to the tragedy should be examined. But for now, he said, the focus should be on helping the refugees restart their lives.

"There is still a lot of anger. There is still a lot of confusion, but I don't think we should be surprised," Clinton said. "These people lost everything and the experience they had in the Superdome or the convention center was horrible."

The elder Bush said he doesn't like the criticism leveled at his son, President Bush, but added, "As a president it goes with territory."

As the Bushes entered a shelter set up at the Reliant Center with Texas Gov. Rick Perry, Perry and Barbara Bush immediately gravitated toward two children, while former president Bush shook hands with a group of men.

After a brief exchange with one girl, Barbara Bush grabbed her hand and took her to meet her husband. Barbara Bush placed her arm around the girl's back and the child smiled widely as she talked with the former president.

Clinton toured the shelter with his wife, Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York, and Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois.

Obama, picked up a little girl who brought him a small heart she had made in a makeshift daycare center at the shelter.

"What's your name, sweetie? You look so pretty," Obama said to the girl. "You made this heart and you decided to give it to Bill Clinton, didn't you?"

The little girl, named Kearra, shook her head affirmatively.

"Well, I give you my heart," Clinton said, giving the tiny toddler a hug. "You're beautiful. Thank you for the heart."

Tuesday, September 06, 2005

I'm sitting in contracts right now. Bad me, blogging in class.

My professor uses power point slides. He reaaaallly enjoys clip art. I would say it's an overuse of clip art. We're talking about a case that involves hauling beets. Is the dump truck clip art really necessary?

I'm going to form a "Against Gratuitous Use of Clip Art" society. Who's in?



Our official club clip art

Saturday, September 03, 2005

How You Can Help
American Red Cross -- (800) HELP-NOW
The Salvation Army -- (800) SAL-ARMY (725-2769)
Feed the Children -- (800) 525-7575
America's Second Harvest -- (877) 817-2307
Habitat for Humanity -- (866) 292-7892
MercyCorps -- (800) 852-2100
National Next of Kin Registry -- (800) 944-4084
International Medical Corps -- (800) 481-4462
Army National Guard -- (800) 833-6622 -- For Service Members and Families
ASPCA -- (866) 275-3923
Donate & Volunteer
American Red Cross -- (800) HELP-NOW
Feed the Children -- (800) 525-7575
Salvation Army -- (800) SAL-ARMY
America's Second Harvest -- (877) 817-2307
Catholic Charities USA -- (800) 919-9338
B'nai B'rith International -- (888) 388-4224
Church World Service -- (800) 297-1516 ext 222
MercyCorps -- (800) 852-2100
Noah’s Wish -- (530) 622-9313
North Shore Animal League -- (877) 4savepet
Operation Blessing -- (800) 730-2537
Episcopal Relief and Development -- (800) 334-7626
Habitat for Humanity -- (866) 720-2800
The United Way -- (800) 272-4630
Humane Society of America -- (888) 259-5431
ASPCA -- (866) 275-3923
Lutheran Disaster Response -- (800) 638-3522
Mennonite Disaster Service -- (800) 348-7468
Water Missions International -- (843) 769-7395
The Baton Rouge Area Foundation -- (877) 387-6126
Samaritan’s Purse -- (800) 665-2843
Food for the Hungry -- (877) 780-4261 ext 2506
Northwest Medical Teams -- (800) 959-4325
World Relief -- (800) 535-5433
Southern Baptist Convention -- (888) 571-5895
Save the Children -- (800) 728-3843
International Medical Corps -- (800) 481-4462
AmeriCares -- (800) 486-4357
International Aid -- (800) 251-2502
International Medical Corps -- (800) 481-4462
International Relief Teams -- (619) 284-7979
International Rescue Committee -- (877) 733-8433
Life for Relief and Development -- (800) 827-3543
MAP International -- (866) 627-4483
Mercy (M-USA) -- (800) 55-MERCY
Operation USA -- (800) 678-7255
Relief International -- (800) 573-3332
Relief International -- (800) 573-3332
USA Freedom Corps -- (212) 348-8882
World Concern -- (800) 755-5022 ext. 0

Agree or disagree, it's something to think about.

Critics say bias delayed relief to disaster area


By William Neikirk and Mike Hughlett, Tribune staff reporters. Tribune senior correspondent William Neikirk reported from Washington and Mike Hughlett from Baton Rouge. Correspondent Cam Simpson contr
Published September 3, 2005

BATON ROUGE, La. -- From the storm-created squalor of New Orleans to the polished halls of Congress, the ticklish issue of race erupted Friday in connection with the government's slow relief response for the victims of Hurricane Katrina.

It arose because of riveting scenes showing thousands of mostly black victims suffering for days with little food, water or medicine while no one came to their rescue--images that will not go away quickly in the wake of the hurricane's mighty assault on New Orleans and the Gulf Coast.

"You want to know why all those black people are stuck down there dying?" asked Yvette Brown, an African-American evacuee from New Orleans. "If they were white, they'd be gone. They'd be sending in an army of helicopters, jets and boats."

Brown saw potential racial bias in the fact that thousands of people were trapped at the convention center for days, crying out for help. Some were elderly and sick, some were children in need of baby formula.

In New Orleans, the city's mostly black, mostly poor 7th Ward was mired in hip-deep water and its residents tired, thirsty, hungry and angry. Race played a role, some said, and so did economics. "Every time there's a flood here, it always goes through the poor people," said Richard Boissiere, 60.

But not all held the view that racism was involved. "I don't think it was racist," said Edith Thibodeaux, 40, of New Orleans' east side. "They were just trying to save the area for the tourists. It's about how much money they can make in this city. They don't care about us." Both Boissiere and Thibodeaux are black.

At the River Center in downtown Baton Rouge, evacuees from New Orleans sat idly on cots and folding chairs. Lakeshia Evans, 29, who is black, said race did not play a factor in the rescue effort. She was brought to the state capital on Thursday from the Louisiana Superdome in New Orleans.

"There were white people on their houses, too," she said. "A lot of people pull the racist card, but I think it [the storm and the conditions] affected everyone."

In Washington, though, congressional leaders focused their criticism on the race and class issues raised by the vivid scenes of suffering.

"We cannot allow it to be said that the difference between those who lived and died in this great storm and flood of 2005 was nothing more than poverty, age or skin color," Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-Md.), a member of the Congressional Black Caucus, told reporters in Washington.

He also had a message for President Bush, saying that "God cannot be pleased" at the relief delays.

Illustrating plight

African-American congressional leaders shied away from directly blaming racism for the slow evacuation. Instead, they said that because blacks trapped in the city without transportation are poor and powerless, they were more easily ignored. But they did not deny race was part of the picture.

"People see class, and they also see race," Rep. John Lewis (D-Ga.), another Black Caucus member, said in an interview. "It [the conditions in New Orleans] just tended to dramatize the plight of a segment of the population that has been left out and behind."

Suggestions that race might have been a factor in the relief response seemed to prompt the Bush administration to send out one of its top Cabinet officials, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, herself an African-American, to say that such allegations are not true.

"That Americans would somehow, in a color-affected way, decide who to help and who not to help--I just don't believe it," she told reporters at the State Department. A native of Alabama, Rice said she would tour the devastated area on Sunday.

Rice said of any racial implications: "I think everybody's very emotional. It's hard to watch pictures of any American going through this. And yes, the African-American community has obviously been very heavily affected."

Project 21, an organization of black conservatives, took issue with statements by Congressional Black Caucus members that race contributed to the delays in relief. Project 21 said in a statement that such a claim amounted to "racially politicizing a natural catastrophe."

And not all the evacuees in Baton Rouge saw race as a factor. "I just think they don't have enough boats and helicopters to rescue them," said evacuee Ore Butler.

The vulnerable
Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-Ill.) criticized the slow relief operations and said the federal government should have had the airlines move the victims to cities across the country. He said the victims should not be put in tent cities or in sports stadiums, but rather in hotel rooms. "Where are the hotels of America, the airlines?" he asked.

But Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) took a more measured approach, saying in Chicago that while it was not a coincidence that so many blacks were left behind in New Orleans, it is not a conspiracy.

"What's true in this country is what's true across the world, which is in the midst of natural disasters the poor and the vulnerable end up getting hit the hardest," he said.

Emergency planning in the future must take into account people who can't afford a car or a plane ticket, he said.

"If they had been white, middle-class Americans, they would have had the ability to push the right levers to make things happen quicker," Lewis said.

Jean Selders, another evacuee in Baton Rouge, took issue with some commentators calling them refugees. "We're homeless," she said. "It makes us sound like we're from another country. We're from this country, born and raised here."

Cummings and other Black Caucus members also took issue with calling the victims refugees. Cummings suggested that perhaps some displaced people could be housed in shuttered military bases.

Bruce Gordon, president and chief executive of the NAACP, said he is going to the Gulf Coast states this weekend to speak with federal emergency officials, Red Cross officials and black community leaders "to make sure there is a more sensitive approach" in relocating victims.

"When all is said and done, it's hard to avoid race in this situation," Gordon said in an interview. It is a matter of both race and economic class, he said. "The issue is sociological. It cannot be ignored. It cannot be denied. People have to be accountable for what happened."

Blast from rapper

Others had a harsher assessment. Rapper Kanye West, appearing on "A Concert for Hurricane Relief" simulcast Friday night from New York on NBC, MSNBC, CNBC and Pax, said America was set up "to help the poor, the black people, the less well-off as slow as possible."

Comedian Mike Myers was paired with West for a 90-second segment that began with Myers speaking of Katrina's devastation. Then, to Myers' evident surprise, the Associated Press reported that West began a rant by saying, "I hate the way they portray us in the media. If you see a black family, it says they're looting. See a white family, it says they're looking for food."

While allowing that "the Red Cross is doing everything they can," West--who delivered an emotional outburst at the American Music Awards after he was snubbed for an award--declared that government authorities are intentionally dragging their feet on aid to the Gulf Coast.

After he stated, "George Bush doesn't care about black people. Please call--" the camera cut away to comedian Chris Tucker

Friday, September 02, 2005

As I watch and read about Hurricane Katrina and what's going on right now, I can't help but wonder, could this have been prevented? Couldn't we have done better? It's not like this was an earthquake or tsunami, something that's comes with no warning. And then I read this article, and it made me more sad. Lives lost, lives ruined, people displaced-- and it did not have to happen this way, to this magnitude.

Models predicted New Orleans disaster, experts say


By Alan Elsner Fri Sep 2,11:54 AM ET

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Virtually everything that has happened in New Orleans since Hurricane Katrina struck was predicted by experts and in computer models, so emergency management specialists wonder why authorities were so unprepared.

The scenario of a major hurricane hitting New Orleans was well anticipated, predicted and drilled around," said Clare Rubin, an emergency management consultant who also teaches at the Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management at George Washington University.

Computer models developed at Louisiana State University and other institutions made detailed projections of what would happen if water flowed over the levees protecting the city or if they failed.

In July 2004, more than 40 federal, state, local and volunteer organizations practiced this very scenario in a five-day simulation code-named "Hurricane Pam," where they had to deal with an imaginary storm that destroyed over half a million buildings in New Orleans and forced the evacuation of a million residents.

At the end of the exercise Ron Castleman, regional director for the Federal Emergency Management Agency declared: "We made great progress this week in our preparedness efforts.

"Disaster response teams developed action plans in critical areas such as search and rescue, medical care, sheltering, temporary housing, school restoration and debris management. These plans are essential for quick response to a hurricane but will also help in other emergencies," he said.

In light of that, said disaster expert Bill Waugh of Georgia State University, "It's inexplicable how unprepared for the flooding they were." He said a slow decline over several years in funding for emergency management was partly to blame.

In comments on Thursday, President George W. Bush said, "I don't think anybody anticipated the breach of the levees."

But Louisiana State University engineer Joseph Suhayda and others have warned for years that defenses could fail. In 2002, the New Orleans Times Picayune published a five-part series on "The Big One" examining what might happen if they did.

SCENARIO LAID OUT

It predicted that 200,000 people or more would be unwilling or unable to heed evacuation orders and thousands would die, that people would be housed in the Superdome, that aid workers would find it difficult to gain access to the city as roads became impassable, as well as many other of the consequences that actually unfolded after Katrina hit this week.

Craig Marks who runs Blue Horizons Consulting, an emergency management training company in North Carolina, said the authorities had mishandled the evacuation, neglecting to help those without transportation to leave the city.

"They could have packed people on trains or buses and gotten them out before the hurricane struck. They had enough time and access to federal funds. And now, we find we do not have a proper emergency communications infrastructure so aid workers get out into the field and they can't talk to one another," he said.

Most of those trapped by the floods in the city of some 500,000 people are the poor who had little chance to leave.

Ernest Sternberg, a professor of urban and regional planning at the University of Buffalo, said law enforcement agencies were often more eager to invest in high tech "toys" than basic communications.

"It's well known that communications go down in disasters but people on the frontlines still don't invest in them. A lot of the investments that have been made in homeland security have been misspent," he said.

Several experts also believe the decision to make FEMA a part of the Department of Homeland Security created after the September 11, 2001 attacks, was a major mistake. Rubin said FEMA functioned well in the 1990s as a small, independent agency.

"Under DHS, it was downgraded, buried in a couple of layers of bureaucracy, and terrorism prevention got all the attention and most of the funds," she said.

Former FEMA director James Lee Witt testified to Congress in March 2004: "I am extremely concerned that the ability of our nation to prepare for and respond to disasters has been sharply eroded.

"I hear from emergency managers, local and state leaders, and first responders nearly every day that the FEMA they knew and worked well with has now disappeared. In fact one state emergency manager told me, 'It is like a stake has been driven into the heart of emergency management,"' he said.

Underlying the situation has been the general reluctance of government at any level to invest in infrastructure or emergency management, said David McEntire, who teaches emergency management at the University of North Texas.

"No-one cares about disasters until they happen. That is a political fact of life," he said.

"Emergency management is woefully underfunded in this nation. That covers not only first responders but also warning, evacuation, damage assessment, volunteer management, donation management and recovery and mitigation issues," he said.